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Live· updated 22s ago

Bordeaux: Luca Van Assche vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Other · May 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Luca Van Assche

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.33	43.0%	$0.43	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.43

Odds

2.33

Implied

43.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Luca Van Assche

Best: 43.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.5%

43.0%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Best: 59.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.5%

59.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Luca Van Assche

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.430

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.453 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.453

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.688 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.688

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Luca Van Assche (kalshi, $432) — order-book depth unknown — assumed unfillable

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Luca Van Asschethin	kalshi	2.33	$432	$1005
Juan Manuel Cerundolo	polymarket	1.77	$568	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Luca Van Assche

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 43.5% vs kalshi at 43.0%

Expected Value

+1.16%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.33) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $13.0K
24h Volume: $12.3K
Liquidity: $43.0K
Open Interest: $10.9K

Resolves: in 6d 15h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $11.2K
24h Volume: $11.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $11.1K

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 15h · May 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · May 27, 2026, 6:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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