TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 28s ago

Castagnola vs Nagel

ITF Tennis · May 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Luca Castagnola

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.85	26.0%	$0.26	---	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.26

Odds

3.85

Implied

26.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Luca Castagnola

Best: 26.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

26.0%

Arthur Nagel

Best: 72.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

72.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Luca Castagnola

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.260

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.469 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.469

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.747 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.747

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Luca Castagnola (kalshi, $265) — slippage 3.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Luca Castagnolathin	kalshi	3.85	$265	$1020
Arthur Nagelthin	kalshi	1.39	$735	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 14d 5h · May 18, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

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