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Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Other · May 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Franco Roncadelli

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.50	40.0%	$0.40	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.47	40.5%	$0.41	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.40

Odds

2.50

Implied

40.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.41

Odds

2.47

Implied

40.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Franco Roncadelli

Best: 40.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.5%

40.0%

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Best: 62.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.5%

62.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Franco Roncadelli

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.400

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.599 avg

+38.34% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.433

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.765

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.709 avg

+38.22% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.513

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Franco Roncadelli (kalshi, $402) — slippage 4.6% — eats into edge

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida (polymarket, $598) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Franco Roncadellithin	kalshi	2.50	$402	$1005
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	polymarket	1.68	$598	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Franco Roncadelli

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 40.5% vs kalshi at 40.0%

Expected Value

+1.25%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.50) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1.6K
24h Volume: $1.6K
Liquidity: $24.8K
Open Interest: $1.4K

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $18.2K
24h Volume: $13.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $17.4K

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · May 20, 2026, 6:00 PM
kalshiin 13d 23h · May 27, 2026, 6:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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