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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo: Exact Match Score

ATP · January 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0M

Platform Prices — Alejandro Tabilo wins 3-2

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	51.28	1.9%	$0.02	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	7.69	13.0%	$0.13	+11.1pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.02

Odds

51.28

Implied

1.9%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.13

Odds

7.69

Implied

13.0%

Edge

+11.1pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alejandro Tabilo wins 3-2

Best: 13.0% on kalshi

▲+11.1%

Prediction market is 11.1% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

1.9%

13.0%

Rafael Jodar

Best: 10.3% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

10.3%

Alexander Zverev

Best: 37.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

37.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alejandro Tabilo wins 3-2

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.019

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.377 avg

+411.92% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.074

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.680

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.577 avg

+109.56% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.275

Cross-Platform Edge — Alejandro Tabilo wins 3-2

Spread

11.1pp

kalshi at 13.0% vs polymarket at 1.9%

Expected Value

+566.67%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (51.28) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $36.6M
24h Volume: $1.0M
Liquidity: $1.1M
Open Interest: $845.8K

Resolves: in 6d 22h

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 15d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jun 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
kalshiin 15d 7h · Jun 15, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.

Casper Ruud wins 3-0

Best: 20.0% on kalshi

▲+6.9%

Prediction market is 6.9% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

13.2%

20.0%

Flavio Cobolli

Best: 11.1% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

11.1%

Matteo Arnaldi wins 3-2

Best: 14.5% on kalshi

▲+12.0%

Prediction market is 12.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

2.5%

14.5%

Felix Auger-Aliassime wins 3-0

Best: 24.0% on kalshi

▲+16.7%

Prediction market is 16.7% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

7.3%

24.0%

Frances Tiafoe wins 3-0

Best: 20.0% on kalshi

▲+17.2%

Prediction market is 17.2% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

2.8%

20.0%

Raphael Collignon

Best: 0.1% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

0.1%

Joao Fonseca wins 3-2

Best: 11.5% on kalshi

▲+2.9%

Prediction market is 2.9% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

8.6%

11.5%

Jakub Mensik wins 3-0

Best: 13.0% on kalshi

▲+10.9%

Prediction market is 10.9% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

2.1%

13.0%

Andrey Rublev wins 3-2

Best: 16.0% on kalshi

▲+12.7%

Prediction market is 12.7% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

3.4%

16.0%

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.577 avg

+109.56% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.275

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.879

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Rafael Jodar

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.102

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.125 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.125

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.374 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.374

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$25.0K@ 0.374 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.374

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Alexander Zverev

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.375

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.389 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.389

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.492 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.492

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$25.0K@ 0.492 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.492

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Casper Ruud wins 3-0

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.132

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.306 avg

+115.09% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.142

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.470

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.547 avg

+67.76% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.326

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.768

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.547 avg

+67.76% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.326

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.768

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Flavio Cobolli

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.111

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.132 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.132

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.383 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.383

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$25.0K@ 0.383 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.383

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Matteo Arnaldi wins 3-2

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.025

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.377 avg

+420.30% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.072

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.681

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.742 avg

+925.52% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.072

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.876

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$30.0K@ 0.742 avg

+925.52% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.072

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.876

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Felix Auger-Aliassime wins 3-0

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.073

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.419 avg

+175.86% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.152

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.685

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.669 avg

+49.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.447

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.892

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.669 avg

+49.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.447

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.892

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Frances Tiafoe wins 3-0

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.028

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.391 avg

+299.60% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.098

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.683

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.617 avg

+78.29% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.346

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.888

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.617 avg

+78.29% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.346

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.888

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Raphael Collignon

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.001

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.018 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.018

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.083 avg

-0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.083

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$25.0K@ 0.083 avg

-0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.083

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Joao Fonseca wins 3-2

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.086

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.339 avg

+159.37% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.131

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.547

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.615 avg

+54.45% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.398

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.832

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.615 avg

+54.45% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.398

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.832

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Jakub Mensik wins 3-0

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.021

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.328 avg

+240.13% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.096

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.559

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.571 avg

+66.68% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.342

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.799

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.571 avg

+66.68% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.342

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.799

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.

Andrey Rublev wins 3-2

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.034

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.315 avg

+256.88% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.088

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.542

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.583 avg

+82.38% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.320

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.846

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

$50.0K@ 0.583 avg

+82.38% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.320

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.846

Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.