TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 35s ago

Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Aleksandar Kovacevic wins 2-0

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.28	30.5%	$0.31	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.17	31.5%	$0.32	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.31

Odds

3.28

Implied

30.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.32

Odds

3.17

Implied

31.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Aleksandar Kovacevic wins 2-0

Best: 31.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

31.5%

30.5%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins 2-1

Best: 69.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

68.5%

69.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Aleksandar Kovacevic wins 2-0

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.305

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.318 avg

+1.65% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.312

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.323

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.358 avg

+11.05% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.323

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins 2-1 (polymarket, $692) — slippage 2.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Aleksandar Kovacevic wins 2-0thin	kalshi	3.28	$308	$1010
Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins 2-1	polymarket	1.46	$692	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Aleksandar Kovacevic wins 2-0

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 31.5% vs kalshi at 30.5%

Expected Value

+3.28%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.28) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5.0K
24h Volume: $5.0K
Liquidity: $44.3K
Open Interest: $4.8K

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $15.6K
24h Volume: $15.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $15.2K

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · May 28, 2026, 1:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 4, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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