TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Other · May 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Kamil Majchrzak wins 2-0

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.63	38.0%	$0.38	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.60	38.5%	$0.39	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.38

Odds

2.63

Implied

38.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.39

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kamil Majchrzak wins 2-0

Best: 38.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

38.5%

38.0%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins 2-1

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.5%

63.0%

Justin Engel

Best: 25.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

25.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kamil Majchrzak wins 2-0

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.380

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.634 avg

+0.80% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.629

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.639

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.689 avg

+7.74% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.639

Cross-Platform Edge — Kamil Majchrzak wins 2-0

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 38.5% vs kalshi at 38.0%

Expected Value

+1.32%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.63) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $13
24h Volume: $13
Liquidity: $7.8K
Open Interest: $60

Resolves: in 8d 12h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $80
24h Volume: $80
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $80

Resolves: in 14d 13h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 12h · May 25, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 13h · May 31, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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