TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 33s ago

Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus

Other · May 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Marcos Giron wins 2-0

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.45	69.0%	$0.69	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.43	70.0%	$0.70	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.69

Odds

1.45

Implied

69.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.70

Odds

1.43

Implied

70.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marcos Giron wins 2-0

Best: 70.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.0%

69.0%

Max Schoenhaus wins 2-1

Best: 30.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.0%

30.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marcos Giron wins 2-0

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.690

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.741 avg

+4.81% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.707

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.775

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.750 avg

+3.44% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.725

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Max Schoenhaus wins 2-1 (polymarket, $303) — slippage 55.2% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marcos Giron wins 2-0thin	kalshi	1.45	$697	$1010
Max Schoenhaus wins 2-1thin	polymarket	3.33	$303	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marcos Giron wins 2-0

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 70.0% vs kalshi at 69.0%

Expected Value

+1.45%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.45) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $14
24h Volume: $14
Liquidity: $6.3K
Open Interest: $14

Resolves: in 8d 12h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $99
24h Volume: $99
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $99

Resolves: in 14d 13h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 12h · May 25, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 13h · May 31, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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