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Climate and Weather · May 15, 2026
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 6.0% on kalshi
Best: 19.0% on kalshi
Best: 55.0% on kalshi
Best: 15.0% on kalshi
Best: 3.5% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96° or belowthin | kalshi | 16.67 | $60 | $1005 |
| 97° to 98°thin | kalshi | 5.26 | $191 | $1005 |
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| 99° to 100°thin | kalshi | 1.82 | $553 | $1005 |
| 101° to 102°thin | kalshi | 6.67 | $151 | $1005 |
| 103° to 104°thin | kalshi | 28.57 | $35 | $1006 |
| 105° or abovethin | kalshi | 100.00 | $10 | $1010 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.