TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 5s ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Katie Volynets

Other · May 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Darja Semenistaja

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.47	40.5%	$0.41	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	2.44	41.0%	$0.41	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.41

Odds

2.47

Implied

40.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.41

Odds

2.44

Implied

41.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Darja Semenistaja

Best: 41.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.5%

41.0%

Katie Volynets

Best: 60.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.5%

60.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Darja Semenistaja

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.405

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.569 avg

+26.01% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.452

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.687

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.678 avg

+1.36% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.669

Cross-Platform Edge — Darja Semenistaja

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 41.0% vs polymarket at 40.5%

Expected Value

+1.23%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.47) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $41
24h Volume: $41
Liquidity: $6.0K
Open Interest: $41

Resolves: in 7d 13h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $346
24h Volume: $346
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $346

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 13h · May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 7h · May 18, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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