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Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Other · May 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Patrick Kypson

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.48	67.5%	$0.68	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.41	71.0%	$0.71	+3.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.68

Odds

1.48

Implied

67.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.71

Odds

1.41

Implied

71.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Patrick Kypson

Best: 71.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.5%

71.0%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Best: 32.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.5%

31.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Patrick Kypson

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.675

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.713 avg

+0.48% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.710

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.717

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.716 avg

+0.18% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.714

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Patrick Kypson (polymarket, $685) — slippage 2.7% — eats into edge

Jack Pinnington Jones (kalshi, $315) — slippage 3.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Patrick Kypsonthin	polymarket	1.48	$685	$1015
Jack Pinnington Jonesthin	kalshi	3.23	$315	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Patrick Kypson

Spread

3.5pp

kalshi at 71.0% vs polymarket at 67.5%

Expected Value

+5.19%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.48) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

10.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $497
24h Volume: $497
Liquidity: $10.9K
Open Interest: $447

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $13.2K
24h Volume: $13.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $12.5K

Resolves: in 14d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · May 11, 2026, 9:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 0h · May 18, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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