TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 23s ago

ITF Bol: Lea Nilsson vs Iva Primorac

Other · May 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Lea Nilsson

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.92	52.0%	$0.52	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.52

Odds

1.92

Implied

52.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lea Nilsson

Best: 52.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

52.5%

52.0%

Iva Primorac Pavicic

Best: 53.0% on kalshi

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

47.5%

53.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lea Nilsson

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.520

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.620 avg

+7.16% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.578

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.661

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.712 avg

+23.16% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.578

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lea Nilsson (kalshi, $523) — slippage 4.1% — eats into edge

Iva Primorac Pavicic (polymarket, $477) — not enough depth at $477

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lea Nilssonthin	kalshi	1.92	$523	$1005
Iva Primorac Pavicicthin	polymarket	2.10	$477	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lea Nilsson

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 52.5% vs kalshi at 52.0%

Expected Value

+0.96%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.92) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · May 30, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jun 6, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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