TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 28s ago

ITF Bol: Noa Vukadin vs Josip Simundza

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Noa Vukadin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.04	49.0%	$0.49	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.49

Odds

2.04

Implied

49.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Noa Vukadin

Best: 49.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.0%

48.0%

Josip Simundza

Best: 52.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.0%

52.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Noa Vukadin

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.480

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.746 avg

+20.93% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.617

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.875

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.839 avg

+4.56% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.802

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Josip Simundza (polymarket, $515) — slippage 27.2% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Noa Vukadinthin	kalshi	2.08	$485	$1010
Josip Simundzathin	polymarket	1.96	$515	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Noa Vukadin

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 49.0% vs kalshi at 48.0%

Expected Value

+2.08%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.08) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $136
24h Volume: $136
Liquidity: $1.4K
Open Interest: $109

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.1K
24h Volume: $1.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.1K

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · May 28, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 4, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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