TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Bol: Tena Lukas vs Giorgia Pedone

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Tena Lukas

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.06	48.5%	$0.49	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.92	52.0%	$0.52	+3.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.49

Odds

2.06

Implied

48.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.52

Odds

1.92

Implied

52.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tena Lukas

Best: 52.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.5%

52.0%

Giorgia Pedone

Best: 51.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.5%

51.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tena Lukas

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.485

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.697 avg

+11.91% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.623

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.771

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.769 avg

+23.51% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.623

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tena Lukas (polymarket, $487) — slippage 27.1% > 10% cap

Giorgia Pedone (kalshi, $513) — slippage 6.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tena Lukasthin	polymarket	2.06	$487	$1005
Giorgia Pedonethin	kalshi	1.96	$513	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tena Lukas

Spread

3.5pp

kalshi at 52.0% vs polymarket at 48.5%

Expected Value

+7.22%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.06) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $17
24h Volume: $17
Liquidity: $1.5K
Open Interest: $17

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $44
24h Volume: $44
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $44

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · May 28, 2026, 9:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 4, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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