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ITF Caltanissetta: Adam Lynch vs Pietro Marino

Other · June 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Adam Lynch

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.87	53.5%	$0.54	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.77	56.5%	$0.56	+3.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.54

Odds

1.87

Implied

53.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.56

Odds

1.77

Implied

56.5%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Adam Lynch

Best: 56.5% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.5%

53.5%

Pietro Marino

Best: 48.5% on kalshi

▲+5.0%

Prediction market is 5.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.5%

48.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Adam Lynch

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.535

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.907 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.907

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.968 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.968

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Adam Lynch (kalshi, $552) — slippage 32.8% > 10% cap

Pietro Marino (polymarket, $449) — slippage 45.2% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Adam Lynchthin	kalshi	1.87	$552	$1031
Pietro Marinothin	polymarket	2.30	$449	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Adam Lynch

Spread

3.0pp

polymarket at 56.5% vs kalshi at 53.5%

Expected Value

+5.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.87) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $4
24h Volume: $4
Liquidity: $796
Open Interest: $4

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $9
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $9

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jun 9, 2026, 12:00 PM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jun 16, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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