TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 29s ago

ITF Deauville: Mathys Picard vs Corentin Denolly

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Mathys Picard

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	11.76	8.5%	$0.09	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	10.00	10.0%	$0.10	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.09

Odds

11.76

Implied

8.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.10

Odds

10.00

Implied

10.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Mathys Picard

Best: 10.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

8.5%

10.0%

Corentin Denolly

Best: 91.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

91.5%

87.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Mathys Picard

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.085

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.844 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.844

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.957 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.957

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Mathys Picard (polymarket, $89) — not enough depth at $89

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Mathys Picardthin	polymarket	11.77	$89	$1047
Corentin Denollythin	kalshi	1.15	$911	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Mathys Picard

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 10.0% vs polymarket at 8.5%

Expected Value

+17.65%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (11.76) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $12
24h Volume: $12
Liquidity: $393
Open Interest: $12

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $22
24h Volume: $22
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $22

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · May 28, 2026, 10:45 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jun 4, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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