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Live· updated 39s ago

ITF Harmon: Geun Jun Kim vs Francis Casey Alcantara

Other · June 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000000000000

Platform Prices — Geun Jun Kim

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.26	79.5%	$0.80	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.23	81.5%	$0.82	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.80

Odds

1.26

Implied

79.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.82

Odds

1.23

Implied

81.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Geun Jun Kim

Best: 81.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

81.5%

79.5%

Francis Casey Alcantara

Best: 20.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

20.0%

20.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Geun Jun Kim

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.795

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.860 avg

+4.61% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.822

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.868

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.868 avg

+5.55% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.822

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Geun Jun Kim (polymarket, $799) — slippage 2.8% — eats into edge

Francis Casey Alcantara (kalshi, $201) — slippage 11.0% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Geun Jun Kimthin	polymarket	1.26	$799	$1005
Francis Casey Alcantarathin	kalshi	5.00	$201	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Geun Jun Kim

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 81.5% vs polymarket at 79.5%

Expected Value

+2.52%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.26) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $20
24h Volume: $20
Liquidity: $485
Open Interest: $20

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jun 10, 2026, 12:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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