TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kayseri: Doga Turkmen vs Emily Sartz-Lunde

Other · June 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Doga Turkmen

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.08	24.5%	$0.25	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.25

Odds

4.08

Implied

24.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Doga Turkmen

Best: 25.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

24.5%

Emily Sartz-Lunde

Best: 75.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

75.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Doga Turkmen

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.245

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.619 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.619

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.812 avg

-0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.812

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Doga Turkmen (kalshi, $248) — slippage 117.1% > 10% cap

Emily Sartz-Lunde (polymarket, $753) — slippage 2.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Doga Turkmenthin	kalshi	4.08	$248	$1010
Emily Sartz-Lundethin	polymarket	1.34	$753	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Doga Turkmen

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 25.5% vs kalshi at 24.5%

Expected Value

+4.08%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.08) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $1.6K
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jun 9, 2026, 9:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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