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Live· updated 27s ago

ITF Kayseri: Marie Villet vs Ingkar Dyussebay

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Marie Villet

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.50	66.5%	$0.67	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.47	68.0%	$0.68	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.67

Odds

1.50

Implied

66.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.68

Odds

1.47

Implied

68.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marie Villet

Best: 68.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

66.5%

68.0%

Ingkar Dyussebay

Best: 33.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

33.5%

31.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marie Villet

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.665

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.801 avg

+11.98% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.716

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.887

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.830 avg

+15.98% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.716

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Ingkar Dyussebay (kalshi, $321) — slippage 29.6% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marie Villetthin	polymarket	1.50	$679	$1021
Ingkar Dyussebaythin	kalshi	3.17	$321	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marie Villet

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 68.0% vs polymarket at 66.5%

Expected Value

+2.26%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.50) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $513
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 6d 20h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $706
24h Volume: $706
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $706

Resolves: in 13d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 20h · May 28, 2026, 8:45 AM
kalshiin 13d 19h · Jun 4, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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