TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 34s ago

ITF Kosice: Lucija Ciric Bagaric vs Caroline Werner

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Lucija Ciric Bagaric

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.74	36.5%	$0.37	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.53	39.5%	$0.40	+3.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.37

Odds

2.74

Implied

36.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.40

Odds

2.53

Implied

39.5%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lucija Ciric Bagaric

Best: 39.5% on polymarket

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.5%

36.5%

Caroline Werner

Best: 64.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.5%

64.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lucija Ciric Bagaric

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.365

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.663 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.663

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.877 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.877

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.09%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lucija Ciric Bagaric (kalshi, $376) — slippage 10.9% > 10% cap

Caroline Werner (polymarket, $624) — slippage 6.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lucija Ciric Bagaricthin	kalshi	2.74	$376	$1031
Caroline Wernerthin	polymarket	1.65	$624	$1031

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lucija Ciric Bagaric

Spread

3.0pp

polymarket at 39.5% vs kalshi at 36.5%

Expected Value

+8.22%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.74) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.6K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · May 28, 2026, 10:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jun 4, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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