TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Nikola Jovic

Other · June 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Lorenzo Gagliardo

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.24	80.5%	$0.81	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.81

Odds

1.24

Implied

80.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lorenzo Gagliardo

Best: 82.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

80.5%

82.0%

Nikola Jovic

Best: 19.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.5%

18.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lorenzo Gagliardo

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.805

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.909 avg

+9.39% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.831

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.925

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.961 avg

+15.66% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.831

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lorenzo Gagliardo (polymarket, $813) — slippage 2.6% — eats into edge

Nikola Jovic (kalshi, $187) — slippage 148.6% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lorenzo Gagliardothin	polymarket	1.24	$813	$1010
Nikola Jovicthin	kalshi	5.41	$187	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lorenzo Gagliardo

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 82.0% vs polymarket at 80.5%

Expected Value

+1.86%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.24) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

7.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $53
24h Volume: $53
Liquidity: $1.1K
Open Interest: $53

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jun 9, 2026, 9:35 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jun 16, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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