TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 34s ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Nikola Jovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Nikola Jovic

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.00	25.0%	$0.25	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.25

Odds

4.00

Implied

25.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nikola Jovic

Best: 25.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

25.0%

Lorenzo Gagliardo

Best: 75.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

75.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nikola Jovic

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.250

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.818 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.818

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.945 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.945

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nikola Jovic (kalshi, $251) — slippage 105.0% > 10% cap

Lorenzo Gagliardo (polymarket, $749) — slippage 3.8% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nikola Jovicthin	kalshi	4.00	$251	$1005
Lorenzo Gagliardothin	polymarket	1.34	$749	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nikola Jovic

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 25.5% vs kalshi at 25.0%

Expected Value

+2.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $645
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · May 28, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 4, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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