TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Litija: Kirill Kivattsev vs Michael Savano

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Kirill Kivattsev

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.10	90.5%	$0.91	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.09	92.0%	$0.92	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.91

Odds

1.10

Implied

90.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.92

Odds

1.09

Implied

92.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kirill Kivattsev

Best: 92.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.5%

92.0%

Michael Savano

Best: 11.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

9.5%

11.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kirill Kivattsev

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.905

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.942 avg

+1.43% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.928

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.955

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.949 avg

+2.24% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.928

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.00%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kirill Kivattsev (polymarket, $905) — slippage 2.0% — eats into edge

Michael Savano (polymarket, $95) — not enough depth at $95

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kirill Kivattsevthin	polymarket	1.10	$905	$1000
Michael Savanothin	polymarket	10.53	$95	$1000

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kirill Kivattsev

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 92.0% vs polymarket at 90.5%

Expected Value

+1.66%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.10) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

15.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $370
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $86
24h Volume: $86
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $86

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · May 28, 2026, 10:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 4, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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