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ITF Nakhon Pathom: Anton Shepp vs Matthew Dellavedova

Other · May 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Anton Shepp

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.57	63.5%	$0.64	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.64

Odds

1.57

Implied

63.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Anton Shepp

Best: 63.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.0%

63.5%

Matthew Dellavedova

Best: 39.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.0%

36.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Anton Shepp

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.600

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.763 avg

+16.75% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.654

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.873

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.847 avg

+3.13% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.821

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Matthew Dellavedova (polymarket, $378) — slippage 141.5% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Anton Sheppthin	kalshi	1.67	$622	$1037
Matthew Dellavedovathin	polymarket	2.74	$378	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Anton Shepp

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 63.5% vs kalshi at 60.0%

Expected Value

+5.83%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.67) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

8.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $26
24h Volume: $26
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $26

Resolves: in 14d 6h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $866
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · May 24, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · May 31, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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