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ITF Nakhon Pathom: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Tanakorn Srirat

Other · May 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Pawit Sornlaksup

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.04	96.5%	$0.97	+44.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.97

Odds

1.04

Implied

96.5%

Edge

+44.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pawit Sornlaksup

Best: 96.5% on kalshi

▲+44.0%

Prediction market is 44.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

96.5%

52.5%

Tanakorn Srirat

Best: 47.5% on polymarket

▲+44.0%

Prediction market is 44.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

3.5%

47.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pawit Sornlaksup

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.525

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.984 avg

+0.57% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.979

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.990

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.984 avg

+0.57% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.979

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+78.57%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tanakorn Srirat (kalshi, $63) — slippage 440.0% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pawit Sornlaksupthin	polymarket	1.91	$938	$1786
Tanakorn Sriratthin	kalshi	28.57	$63	$1786

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pawit Sornlaksup

Spread

44.0pp

kalshi at 96.5% vs polymarket at 52.5%

Expected Value

+83.81%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.90) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 5h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: $48
Liquidity: $104
Open Interest: $48

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · May 21, 2026, 4:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 5h · May 28, 2026, 3:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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