TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 29s ago

ITF Nyiregyhaza: Leyton Rivera vs Timeo Trufelli

Other · June 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Leyton Rivera

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.45	29.0%	$0.29	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.56	39.0%	$0.39	+10.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.29

Odds

3.45

Implied

29.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.39

Odds

2.56

Implied

39.0%

Edge

+10.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Leyton Rivera

Best: 39.0% on polymarket

▲+10.0%

Prediction market is 10.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.0%

29.0%

Timeo Trufelli

Best: 69.0% on kalshi

▲+8.0%

Prediction market is 8.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.0%

69.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Leyton Rivera

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.290

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.350 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.350

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.599 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.599

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+11.11%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Leyton Rivera (kalshi, $322) — slippage 9.2% — eats into edge

Timeo Trufelli (polymarket, $678) — not enough depth at $678 — fillable up to $20

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Leyton Riverathin	kalshi	3.45	$322	$1111
Timeo Trufellithin	polymarket	1.64	$678	$1111

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Leyton Rivera

Spread

10.0pp

polymarket at 39.0% vs kalshi at 29.0%

Expected Value

+34.48%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.45) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

14.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $16
24h Volume: $16
Liquidity: $1.4K
Open Interest: $16

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $978
24h Volume: $970
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $978

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jun 16, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jun 23, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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