TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 42s ago

ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin

Other · June 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Patrik Munkhammar

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.23	31.0%	$0.31	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	+17.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.31

Odds

3.23

Implied

31.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

+17.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Patrik Munkhammar

Best: 48.0% on polymarket

▲+17.0%

Prediction market is 17.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.0%

31.0%

Max Dahlin

Best: 69.0% on kalshi

▲+17.0%

Prediction market is 17.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

52.0%

69.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Patrik Munkhammar

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.310

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.756 avg

+3.45% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.731

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.781

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.904 avg

+0.36% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.901

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+20.48%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Patrik Munkhammar (kalshi, $374) — slippage 96.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $7

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Patrik Munkhammarthin	kalshi	3.23	$374	$1205
Max Dahlin	polymarket	1.92	$627	$1205

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Patrik Munkhammar

Spread

17.0pp

polymarket at 48.0% vs kalshi at 31.0%

Expected Value

+54.84%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.23) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

24.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1.4K
24h Volume: $1.4K
Liquidity: $1.6K
Open Interest: $1.7K

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $357
24h Volume: $320
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $355

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jun 16, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jun 23, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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