TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 27s ago

ITF Varnamo: William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Filip Gustafsson

Other · June 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.96	51.0%	$0.51	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.92	52.0%	$0.52	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.51

Odds

1.96

Implied

51.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.52

Odds

1.92

Implied

52.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Best: 52.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

52.0%

51.0%

Filip Gustafsson

Best: 48.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.0%

47.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.510

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.688 avg

+17.91% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.583

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.709

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.876 avg

+50.21% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.583

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $170

Filip Gustafsson (kalshi, $482) — slippage 46.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $82

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
William Rejchtman Vinciguerrathin	kalshi	1.96	$518	$1015
Filip Gustafssonthin	kalshi	2.10	$482	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 52.0% vs kalshi at 51.0%

Expected Value

+1.96%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.96) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $79
24h Volume: $79
Liquidity: $2.3K
Open Interest: $71

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $38
24h Volume: $38
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $38

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jun 16, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jun 23, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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