TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Vic: Daniel Rincon vs Sergi Perez Contri

Other · May 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Daniel Rincon

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.44	69.5%	$0.70	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.43	70.0%	$0.70	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.70

Odds

1.44

Implied

69.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.70

Odds

1.43

Implied

70.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Daniel Rincon

Best: 70.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

69.5%

70.0%

Sergi Perez Contri

Best: 30.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.5%

28.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Daniel Rincon

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.695

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.817 avg

+8.56% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.752

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.881

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.867 avg

+1.69% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.852

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Daniel Rincon (polymarket, $709) — slippage 4.8% — eats into edge

Sergi Perez Contri (kalshi, $291) — slippage 7.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Daniel Rinconthin	polymarket	1.44	$709	$1021
Sergi Perez Contrithin	kalshi	3.51	$291	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Daniel Rincon

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 70.0% vs polymarket at 69.5%

Expected Value

+0.72%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.44) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $902
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $54
24h Volume: $54
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $27

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · May 24, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 5h · May 31, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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