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ITF Wuning: Hina Inoue vs Jiaqi Wang

Other · May 29, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0

Platform Prices — Hina Inoue

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.46	68.5%	$0.69	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.43	70.0%	$0.70	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.69

Odds

1.46

Implied

68.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.70

Odds

1.43

Implied

70.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Hina Inoue

Best: 70.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.0%

68.5%

Jiaqi Wang

Best: 31.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.0%

31.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Hina Inoue

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.685

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.741 avg

+0.78% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.736

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.747

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.809 avg

+9.97% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.736

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Hina Inoue (polymarket, $695) — slippage 3.2% — eats into edge

Jiaqi Wang (kalshi, $305) — slippage 21.9% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Hina Inouethin	polymarket	1.46	$695	$1015
Jiaqi Wangthin	kalshi	3.33	$305	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Hina Inoue

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 70.0% vs polymarket at 68.5%

Expected Value

+2.19%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.46) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $284
24h Volume: $244
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $185

Resolves: in 14d 2h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $20
24h Volume: $20
Liquidity: $3.2K
Open Interest: $20

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jun 6, 2026, 3:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jun 13, 2026, 3:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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