NBALIVE

Live· updated 25s ago

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Pistons · May 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Cleveland Cavaliers

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.38	42.0%	$0.42	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.15	46.5%	$0.47	+4.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.42

Odds

2.38

Implied

42.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.47

Odds

2.15

Implied

46.5%

Edge

+4.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Cleveland Cavaliers

Best: 46.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

42.0%

Detroit Pistons

Best: 59.0% on kalshi

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

59.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Cleveland Cavaliers

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.420

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.445 avg

+5.95% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.420

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.470

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.482 avg

+14.71% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.420

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Cleveland Cavaliersthin	kalshi	2.38	$440	$1047
Detroit Pistons	polymarket	1.87	$560	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Cleveland Cavaliers

Spread

4.5pp

polymarket at 46.5% vs kalshi at 42.0%

Expected Value

+10.71%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.38) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

7.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $6.8K
24h Volume: $6.8K
Liquidity: $44.0K
Open Interest: $6.8K

Resolves: in 17d 3h

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $13.6K
24h Volume: $13.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $13.1K

Resolves: in 15d 2h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 15d 2h · May 19, 2026, 11:00 PM
polymarketin 17d 3h · May 22, 2026, 12:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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