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Elections · January 1, 2030
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 5.5% on kalshi
Best: 5.5% on kalshi
Best: 5.5% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.3% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Best: 1.0% on kalshi
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK majoritythin | kalshi | 18.02 | $157 | $2836 |
| Reform UK minoritythin | kalshi | 18.02 | $157 | $2836 |
| Reform UK minority + Conservative supportthin | kalshi | 18.02 | $157 | $2836 |
| Reform UK and Conservative coalitionthin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour majoritythin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour minoritythin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour minority + Liberal Democrat supportthin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour and Liberal Democrat coalitionthin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalitionthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
| Conservative minoritythin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Conservative majoritythin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour minority + Green supportthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
| Labour minority + SNP supportthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
| Conservative minority + Reform UK supportthin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid supportthin | kalshi | 80.00 | $36 | $2840 |
| Reform UK minority + DUP supportthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
| Conservative minority + DUP supportthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
| Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalitionthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
| Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalitionthin | kalshi | 95.24 | $30 | $2838 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.