TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 52s ago

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Tennis · May 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Vilius Gaubas wins 2-0

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.78	36.0%	$0.36	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.74	36.5%	$0.37	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.36

Odds

2.78

Implied

36.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.37

Odds

2.74

Implied

36.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Vilius Gaubas wins 2-0

Best: 36.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.5%

36.0%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins 2-1

Best: 66.5% on kalshi

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

63.5%

66.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Vilius Gaubas wins 2-0

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.360

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.622 avg

+42.79% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.436

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.809

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.781 avg

+26.93% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.615

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Vilius Gaubas wins 2-0 (kalshi, $362) — slippage 5.1% — eats into edge

Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins 2-1 (polymarket, $638) — slippage 3.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Vilius Gaubas wins 2-0thin	kalshi	2.78	$362	$1005
Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins 2-1thin	polymarket	1.57	$638	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Vilius Gaubas wins 2-0

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 36.5% vs kalshi at 36.0%

Expected Value

+1.39%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.78) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $278
24h Volume: $278
Liquidity: $10.6K
Open Interest: $308

Resolves: in 8d 2h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2.4K
24h Volume: $2.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2.4K

Resolves: in 15d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 2h · May 29, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 15d 2h · Jun 5, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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