TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson

Other · May 5, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Juan Pablo Varillas

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.20	83.0%	$0.83	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.20	83.5%	$0.84	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.83

Odds

1.20

Implied

83.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.84

Odds

1.20

Implied

83.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Juan Pablo Varillas

Best: 83.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

83.0%

83.5%

Ryan Dickerson

Best: 17.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.0%

15.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Juan Pablo Varillas

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.830

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.901 avg

+1.28% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.890

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.913

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.909 avg

+0.40% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.905

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Juan Pablo Varillas (polymarket, $843) — slippage 5.5% — eats into edge

Ryan Dickerson (kalshi, $157) — slippage 5.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Juan Pablo Varillasthin	polymarket	1.21	$843	$1015
Ryan Dickersonthin	kalshi	6.45	$157	$1016

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Juan Pablo Varillas

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 83.5% vs polymarket at 83.0%

Expected Value

+0.60%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.20) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $563
24h Volume: $339
Liquidity: $8.7K
Open Interest: $558

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · May 12, 2026, 1:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · May 19, 2026, 6:40 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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