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Live· updated 39s ago

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Mali vs Sierra Leone

International Cricket · May 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Mali

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	11.76	8.5%	$0.09	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.85	54.0%	$0.54	+45.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.09

Odds

11.76

Implied

8.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.54

Odds

1.85

Implied

54.0%

Edge

+45.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Mali

Best: 54.0% on polymarket

▲+45.5%

Prediction market is 45.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.0%

8.5%

Sierra Leone

Best: 91.0% on kalshi

▲+45.0%

Prediction market is 45.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.0%

91.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Mali

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.085

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.587 avg

+12.75% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.521

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.919

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.823 avg

+0.47% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.819

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+83.49%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Mali (kalshi, $156) — slippage 191.4% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Malithin	kalshi	11.77	$156	$1835
Sierra Leonethin	polymarket	2.17	$844	$1835

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Mali

Spread

45.5pp

polymarket at 54.0% vs kalshi at 8.5%

Expected Value

+535.29%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (11.76) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $191
24h Volume: $191
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $191

Resolves: in 2d 11h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 2d 11h · Jun 1, 2026, 11:30 AM
polymarketin 7d 7h · Jun 6, 2026, 7:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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