SoccerLIVE

Live· updated 13s ago

UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF

La Liga 2 · May 31, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — UD Almería

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.64	61.0%	$0.61	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.50	66.5%	$0.67	+5.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.61

Odds

1.64

Implied

61.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.67

Odds

1.50

Implied

66.5%

Edge

+5.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

UD Almería

Best: 66.5% on polymarket

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

66.5%

61.0%

Draw

Best: 24.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

20.5%

24.0%

Real Valladolid CF

Best: 15.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

13.5%

15.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

UD Almería

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.610

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.615 avg

+0.83% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.610

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.620

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.703 avg

+12.97% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.622

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.26%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Draw (polymarket, $216) — slippage 5.4% — eats into edge

Real Valladolid CF (polymarket, $142) — slippage 2.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
UD Almeríathin	kalshi	1.64	$642	$1052
Draw	polymarket	4.88	$216	$1053
Real Valladolid CF	polymarket	7.41	$142	$1053

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — UD Almería

Spread

5.5pp

polymarket at 66.5% vs kalshi at 61.0%

Expected Value

+9.02%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.64) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

14.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $41.9K
24h Volume: $34.5K
Liquidity: $32.5K
Open Interest: $30.4K

Resolves: just now

Source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $28.0K
24h Volume: $24.0K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $26.4K

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketjust now · May 31, 2026, 4:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jun 14, 2026, 4:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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