MMAUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)

UFC · May 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Marwan Rahiki

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.20	83.0%	$0.83	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.20	83.0%	$0.83	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.83

Odds

1.20

Implied

83.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.83

Odds

1.20

Implied

83.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marwan Rahiki

Best: 83.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

83.0%

Ollie Schmid

Best: 17.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.0%

16.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marwan Rahiki

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.830

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.861 avg

+1.60% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.848

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.875

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.895 avg

+5.25% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.851

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Marwan Rahiki (polymarket, $838) — slippage 2.0% — eats into edge

Ollie Schmid (kalshi, $162) — slippage 58.3% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marwan Rahiki	polymarket	1.21	$838	$1010
Ollie Schmidthin	kalshi	6.25	$162	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marwan Rahiki

Spread

0.0pp

kalshi at 83.0% vs polymarket at 83.0%

Expected Value

+0.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.20) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $41.8K
24h Volume: $28.9K
Liquidity: $26.7K
Open Interest: $31.7K

Resolves: in 19h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $41.5K
24h Volume: $34.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $40.1K

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 19h · May 3, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · May 16, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Related Events

MMA

▲+53.5%

WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027

Vol: $463.109209

MMA

▲+46.9%

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Vol: $552K

MMA

▲+42.4%

UFC Bantamweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Vol: $66K

MMA

▲+19.0%

UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)

Vol: $721K

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.