MMAUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)

UFC · June 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Matt Schnell

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.67	15.0%	$0.15	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	6.45	15.5%	$0.16	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.15

Odds

6.67

Implied

15.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.16

Odds

6.45

Implied

15.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Matt Schnell

Best: 15.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

15.5%

15.0%

Alessandro Costa

Best: 87.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

84.5%

87.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Matt Schnell

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.150

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.219 avg

+15.34% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.190

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.364

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.461 avg

+26.47% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.364

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Matt Schnell (kalshi, $151) — slippage 4.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Matt Schnellthin	kalshi	6.67	$151	$1005
Alessandro Costathin	polymarket	1.18	$849	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Matt Schnell

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 15.5% vs kalshi at 15.0%

Expected Value

+3.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.67) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.9K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 6d 3h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.4K
24h Volume: $1.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.4K

Resolves: in 19d 22h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 3h · Jun 7, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 19d 22h · Jun 20, 2026, 11:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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