MMAUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Vera vs. Zhu Kangjie (Featherweight, Prelims)

UFC · May 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Rodrigo Vera

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.98	50.5%	$0.51	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.92	52.0%	$0.52	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.51

Odds

1.98

Implied

50.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.52

Odds

1.92

Implied

52.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Rodrigo Vera

Best: 52.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

52.0%

Zhu Kangjie

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

49.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Rodrigo Vera

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.505

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.523 avg

+2.64% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.510

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.537

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.552 avg

+6.87% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.516

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Rodrigo Vera	polymarket	1.98	$507	$1005
Zhu Kangjiethin	kalshi	2.04	$493	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Rodrigo Vera

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 52.0% vs polymarket at 50.5%

Expected Value

+2.97%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.98) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.2K
24h Volume: $1.6K
Liquidity: $90.6K
Open Interest: $2.0K

Resolves: in 1d 7h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $12.1K
24h Volume: $5.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $10.8K

Resolves: in 14d 11h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 7h · May 31, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 14d 11h · Jun 13, 2026, 8:20 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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