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Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau

Other · May 3, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Jie Cui

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.98	50.5%	$0.51	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.51

Odds

1.98

Implied

50.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Jie Cui

Best: 50.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

50.0%

Alexis Galarneau

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

48.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Jie Cui

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.500

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.562 avg

+1.26% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.555

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.569

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.695 avg

+21.73% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.571

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Jie Cuithin	kalshi	2.00	$508	$1015
Alexis Galarneauthin	kalshi	2.06	$492	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Jie Cui

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 50.5% vs kalshi at 50.0%

Expected Value

+1.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $41.8K
24h Volume: $41.7K
Liquidity: $39.7K
Open Interest: $36.5K

Resolves: in 6d 17h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $64.1K
24h Volume: $57.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $54.3K

Resolves: in 13d 20h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 17h · May 11, 2026, 3:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 20h · May 18, 2026, 6:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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