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Live· updated 1m ago

Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone: Exact Match Score

ATP · May 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Casper Ruud wins 2-0

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.34	74.5%	$0.75	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.32	75.5%	$0.76	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.75

Odds

1.34

Implied

74.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.76

Odds

1.32

Implied

75.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Casper Ruud wins 2-0

Best: 75.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

75.5%

Mariano Navone wins 2-1

Best: 25.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

25.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Casper Ruud wins 2-0

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.745

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.746 avg

+1.96% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.731

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.760

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.760 avg

+2.53% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.741

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Mariano Navone wins 2-1 (kalshi, $251) — slippage 13.3% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Casper Ruud wins 2-0	polymarket	1.34	$749	$1005
Mariano Navone wins 2-1thin	kalshi	4.00	$251	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Casper Ruud wins 2-0

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 75.5% vs polymarket at 74.5%

Expected Value

+1.34%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.34) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $9.2K
24h Volume: $9.2K
Liquidity: $8.5K
Open Interest: $9.1K

Resolves: in 7d 15h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.8K
24h Volume: $1.8K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.7K

Resolves: in 14d 14h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 15h · May 29, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 14h · Jun 5, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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