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Live· updated 22s ago

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants

Indian Premier League · May 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Mumbai Indians

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	+3.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

+3.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Mumbai Indians

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.0%

63.0%

Lucknow Super Giants

Best: 40.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.0%

39.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Mumbai Indians

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.600

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.664 avg

+5.36% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.630

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.697

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.677 avg

+3.16% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.656

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lucknow Super Giants (kalshi, $394) — slippage 5.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Mumbai Indiansthin	polymarket	1.67	$606	$1010
Lucknow Super Giantsthin	kalshi	2.56	$394	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Mumbai Indians

Spread

3.0pp

kalshi at 63.0% vs polymarket at 60.0%

Expected Value

+5.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.67) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

7.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $5.1K
Open Interest: $5

Resolves: in 8d 14h

Source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $22.9K
24h Volume: $8.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $18.0K

Resolves: in 4d 18h

Settlement Timeline

kalshiin 4d 18h · May 7, 2026, 2:00 PM
polymarketin 8d 14h · May 11, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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