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Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

Economics · April 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Thomas Oliveira

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.88	20.5%	$0.21	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	+29.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.21

Odds

4.88

Implied

20.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

+29.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Thomas Oliveira

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+29.0%

Prediction market is 29.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

20.5%

Anthony Alfredo

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+48.5%

Prediction market is 48.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

1.0%

Richard T. Lee

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+45.5%

Prediction market is 45.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

Cross-Platform Edge — Thomas Oliveira

Spread

29.0pp

polymarket at 49.5% vs kalshi at 20.5%

Expected Value

+141.46%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.88) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $311
24h Volume: $10
Liquidity: $171
Open Interest: $11

Resolves: in 61d 3h

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4.0K
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $778

Resolves: in 246d 18h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 61d 3h · Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 AM
kalshiin 246d 18h · Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

Platform Prices — Thomas Oliveira

All Outcomes

Thomas Oliveira

Anthony Alfredo

Richard T. Lee

Cross-Platform Edge — Thomas Oliveira

Platform Activity

polymarket

kalshi

Settlement Timeline

Price History

Trade This Market

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