TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria

Other · May 5, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Magda Linette

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.38	72.5%	$0.73	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.36	73.5%	$0.74	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.73

Odds

1.38

Implied

72.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.74

Odds

1.36

Implied

73.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Magda Linette

Best: 73.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

73.5%

72.5%

Tatjana Maria

Best: 26.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

26.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Magda Linette

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.725

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.754 avg

+1.84% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.740

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.767

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.810 avg

+7.50% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.753

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tatjana Maria (polymarket, $268) — slippage 28.5% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Magda Linettethin	kalshi	1.38	$732	$1010
Tatjana Mariathin	polymarket	3.77	$268	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Magda Linette

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 73.5% vs kalshi at 72.5%

Expected Value

+1.38%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.38) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $246
24h Volume: $246
Liquidity: $11.1K
Open Interest: $242

Resolves: in 7d 12h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $915
24h Volume: $915
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $902

Resolves: in 14d 11h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 12h · May 12, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 11h · May 19, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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