TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Other · May 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Nikoloz Basilashvili

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.17	31.5%	$0.32	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.27	44.0%	$0.44	+12.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.32

Odds

3.17

Implied

31.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.44

Odds

2.27

Implied

44.0%

Edge

+12.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Best: 44.0% on kalshi

▲+12.5%

Prediction market is 12.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.0%

31.5%

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Best: 87.0% on kalshi

▲+18.5%

Prediction market is 18.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

87.0%

68.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.315

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.801 avg

+8.99% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.735

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.868

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.866 avg

+0.23% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.864

Cross-Platform Edge — Nikoloz Basilashvili

Spread

12.5pp

kalshi at 44.0% vs polymarket at 31.5%

Expected Value

+39.68%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.17) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

18.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $260
24h Volume: $260
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $239

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $23
24h Volume: $23
Liquidity: $2.0K
Open Interest: $23

Resolves: in 8d 8h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 8h · May 14, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · May 20, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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