TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 47s ago

Santos: Nicolas Zanellato vs Nicolas Kicker

Other · May 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.94	34.0%	$0.34	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	+15.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.34

Odds

2.94

Implied

34.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

+15.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+15.5%

Prediction market is 15.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

34.0%

Inaki Montes-De La Torre

Best: 66.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

66.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.340

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.865 avg

+14.70% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.754

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.976

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.934 avg

+4.70% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.892

Cross-Platform Edge — Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Spread

15.5pp

polymarket at 49.5% vs kalshi at 34.0%

Expected Value

+45.59%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.94) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

23.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $176
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 12h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4
24h Volume: $4
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 12h · May 13, 2026, 1:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 7h · May 20, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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