TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 8s ago

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Hugo Gaston

Other · May 4, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Andrea Pellegrino

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.15	46.5%	$0.47	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.47

Odds

2.15

Implied

46.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Andrea Pellegrino

Best: 48.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

48.0%

Hugo Gaston

Best: 53.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

53.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Andrea Pellegrino

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.465

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.552 avg

+11.18% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.496

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.607

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.692 avg

+17.39% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.589

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Andrea Pellegrino (polymarket, $467) — slippage 5.6% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Andrea Pellegrino	polymarket	2.15	$467	$1005
Hugo Gastonthin	kalshi	1.89	$533	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Andrea Pellegrino

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 48.0% vs polymarket at 46.5%

Expected Value

+3.23%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.15) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1.9K
24h Volume: $1.9K
Liquidity: $16.2K
Open Interest: $1.8K

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $7.8K
24h Volume: $7.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $7.6K

Resolves: in 14d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · May 11, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 0h · May 18, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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