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Live· updated 7s ago

ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Tai Leonard Sach

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.75	57.0%	$0.57	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.64	61.0%	$0.61	+4.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.57

Odds

1.75

Implied

57.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.61

Odds

1.64

Implied

61.0%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tai Leonard Sach

Best: 61.0% on kalshi

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.0%

57.0%

Sora Fukuda

Best: 43.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

41.0%

43.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tai Leonard Sach

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.570

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.652 avg

+3.36% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.631

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.674

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.689 avg

+9.14% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.631

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tai Leonard Sach (polymarket, $582) — slippage 7.0% — eats into edge

Sora Fukuda (kalshi, $418) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tai Leonard Sachthin	polymarket	1.75	$582	$1020
Sora Fukudathin	kalshi	2.44	$418	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tai Leonard Sach

Spread

4.0pp

kalshi at 61.0% vs polymarket at 57.0%

Expected Value

+7.02%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.75) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $515
24h Volume: $515
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $515

Resolves: in 14d 8h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $746
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · May 29, 2026, 4:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jun 5, 2026, 3:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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