TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Nuria Sarganella Verdu vs Anastasia Lizunova

Other · May 14, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Nuria Sarganella Verdu

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	10.00	10.0%	$0.10	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	8.33	12.0%	$0.12	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.10

Odds

10.00

Implied

10.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.12

Odds

8.33

Implied

12.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nuria Sarganella Verdu

Best: 12.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

10.0%

12.0%

Anastasia Lizunova

Best: 90.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.0%

88.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nuria Sarganella Verdu

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.100

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.672 avg

+7.79% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.623

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.720

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.799 avg

+10.94% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.720

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nuria Sarganella Verdu (polymarket, $102) — slippage 554.9% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nuria Sarganella Verduthin	polymarket	10.00	$102	$1015
Anastasia Lizunovathin	kalshi	1.13	$899	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nuria Sarganella Verdu

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 12.0% vs polymarket at 10.0%

Expected Value

+20.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (10.00) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $551
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · May 21, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · May 28, 2026, 7:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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