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ITF Luan: Yaojie Zeng vs Jake Delaney

Other · May 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Yaojie ZENG

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.67	37.5%	$0.38	---	Bet Here
PolymarketBest	2.63	38.0%	$0.38	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.38

Odds

2.67

Implied

37.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.38

Odds

2.63

Implied

38.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Yaojie ZENG

Best: 38.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.5%

38.0%

Jake Delaney

Best: 62.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.5%

62.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Yaojie ZENG

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.375

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.702 avg

+2.86% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.683

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.722

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.801 avg

+10.99% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.722

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Yaojie ZENG (kalshi, $377) — slippage 12.4% > 10% cap

Jake Delaney (polymarket, $623) — slippage 5.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Yaojie ZENGthin	kalshi	2.67	$377	$1005
Jake Delaneythin	polymarket	1.61	$623	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Yaojie ZENG

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 38.0% vs kalshi at 37.5%

Expected Value

+1.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.67) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $1.4K
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · May 29, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jun 5, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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