TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 8s ago

Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo

Tennis · May 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Cameron Norrie

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.98	50.5%	$0.51	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.51

Odds

1.98

Implied

50.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Cameron Norrie

Best: 50.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

50.0%

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Best: 51.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

51.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Cameron Norrie

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.500

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.548 avg

+0.85% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.543

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.553

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.630 avg

+0.94% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.624

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Cameron Norrie (kalshi, $502) — slippage 2.6% — eats into edge

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (polymarket, $498) — slippage 3.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Cameron Norriethin	kalshi	2.00	$502	$1005
Adolfo Daniel Vallejothin	polymarket	2.02	$498	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Cameron Norrie

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 50.5% vs kalshi at 50.0%

Expected Value

+1.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $494
24h Volume: $494
Liquidity: $97.1K
Open Interest: $442

Resolves: in 8d 15h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $68
24h Volume: $68
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $59

Resolves: in 16d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 15h · May 31, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 16d 15h · Jun 8, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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